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Dataset

 

Summary for Policymakers of the Working Group I Contribution to the IPCC Sixth Assessment Report - data for Figure SPM.5 (v20221116)

Update Frequency: Not Planned
Latest Data Update: 2023-02-22
Status: Completed
Online Status: ONLINE
Publication State: Citable
Publication Date: 2023-02-22
DOI Publication Date: 2023-07-03
Download Stats: last 12 months
Dataset Size: 14 Files | 34MB
Abstract

Data for Figure SPM.5 from the Summary for Policymakers (SPM) of the Working Group I (WGI) Contribution to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Sixth Assessment Report (AR6).

Figure SPM.5 shows changes in annual mean surface temperatures, precipitation, and total column soil moisture.

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How to cite this dataset
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When citing this dataset, please include both the data citation below (under 'Citable as') and the following citation for the report component from which the figure originates:

IPCC, 2021: Summary for Policymakers. In: Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Masson-Delmotte, V., P. Zhai, A. Pirani, S.L. Connors, C. Péan, S. Berger, N. Caud, Y. Chen, L. Goldfarb, M.I. Gomis, M. Huang, K. Leitzell, E. Lonnoy, J.B.R. Matthews, T.K. Maycock, T. Waterfield, O. Yelekçi, R. Yu, and B. Zhou (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, pp. 3−32, doi:10.1017/9781009157896.001.

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Figure subpanels
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The figure has four panels with 11 maps. All data is provided, except for panel a1.

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List of data provided
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This dataset contains:

- Annual mean temperature change (°C) (relative to 1850-1900)
- Annual mean precipitation change (%) (relative to 1850-1900)
- Annual mean soil moisture change (standard deviation of interannual variability) (relative to 1850-1900)

The data is given for global warming levels (GWLs), namely +1.0°C (temperature only), +1.5°C, 2.0°C, and +4.0°C.

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Data provided in relation to figure
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Panel a:
- Data file: Panel_a2_Simulated_temperature_change_at_1C.nc, simulated annual mean temperature change (°C) at 1°C global warming relative to 1850-1900 (right).

Panel b:
- Data file: Panel_b1_Simulated_temperature_change_at_1_5C.nc, simulated annual mean temperature change (°C) at 1.5°C global warming relative to 1850-1900 (left).
- Data file: Panel_b2_Simulated_temperature_change_at_2C.nc, simulated annual mean temperature change (°C) at 2.0°C global warming relative to 1850-1900 (center).
- Data file: Panel_b3_Simulated_temperature_change_at_4C.nc, simulated annual mean temperature change (°C) at 4.0°C global warming relative to 1850-1900 (right).

Panel c:
- Data file: Panel_c1_Simulated_precipitation_change_at_1_5C.nc, simulated annual mean precipitation change (%) at 1.5°C global warming relative to 1850-1900 (left).
- Data file: Panel_c2_Simulated_precipitation_change_at_2C.nc, simulated annual mean precipitation change (%) at 2.0°C global warming relative to 1850-1900 (center).
- Data file: Panel_c3_Simulated_precipitation_change_at_4C.nc, simulated annual mean precipitation change (%) at 4.0°C global warming relative to 1850-1900 (right).

Panel d:
- Data file: Figure_SPM5_d1_cmip6_SM_tot_change_at_1_5C.nc, simulated annual mean total column soil moisture change (standard deviation) at 1.5°C global warming relative to 1850-1900 (left).
- Data file: Figure_SPM5_d2_cmip6_SM_tot_change_at_2C.nc, simulated annual mean total column soil moisture change (standard deviation) at 2.0°C global warming relative to 1850-1900 (center).
- Data file: Figure_SPM5_d3_cmip6_SM_tot_change_at_4C.nc, simulated annual mean total column soil moisture change (standard deviation) at 4.0°C global warming relative to 1850-1900 (right).

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Sources of additional information
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The following weblink is provided in the Related Documents section of this catalogue record:
- Link to origin of figure (IPCC WG1 Summary for Policy Makers)
- Link to the report webpage, which includes the component containing the figure (Summary for Policymakers), the Technical Summary (Figures TS.3 and TS.5) and the Supplementary Material for Chapters 1, 4 and 11, which contains details on the input data used in Tables 1.SM.1 (Figure 1.14), 4.SM.1 (Figures 4.31 and 4.32) and 11.SM.9 (Figure 11.19).
- Link to the figure on the IPCC AR6 website

Citable as:  Fischer, E.; Hauser, M. (2023): Summary for Policymakers of the Working Group I Contribution to the IPCC Sixth Assessment Report - data for Figure SPM.5 (v20221116). NERC EDS Centre for Environmental Data Analysis, 03 July 2023. doi:10.5285/1b91153925dd474387bb696d59adbd15. https://dx.doi.org/10.5285/1b91153925dd474387bb696d59adbd15
Abbreviation: Not defined
Keywords: IPCC-DDC, IPCC, AR6, WG1, WGI, SPM, Sixth Assessment Report, Working Group I, Physical Science Basis, Summary for Policymakers, Figure SPM.5, global warming level, temperature, precipitation, soil moisture, projection, CMIP6

Details

Previous Info:
No news update for this record
Previously used record identifiers:
No related previous identifiers.
Access rules:
Public data: access to these data is available to both registered and non-registered users.
Use of these data is covered by the following licence(s):
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
When using these data you must cite them correctly using the citation given on the CEDA Data Catalogue record.
Data lineage:

Data produced by Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) authors and supplied for archiving at the Centre for Environmental Data Analysis (CEDA) by the Technical Support Unit (TSU) for IPCC Working Group I (WGI).
Data curated on behalf of the IPCC Data Distribution Centre (IPCC-DDC).
Data Quality:
Data produced by Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) authors and supplied for archiving at the Centre for Environmental Data Analysis (CEDA) by the Technical Support Unit (TSU) for IPCC Working Group I (WGI).
File Format:
net-CDF

Related Documents

 Webpage for the Working Group I Contribution to the IPCC Sixth Assessment Report
 ORIGIN OF FIGURE (IPCC REPORT SPM): IPCC, 2021: Summary for Policymakers. In: Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
 LINK TO FIGURE

Process overview

This dataset was generated by the computation detailed below.
Title

Caption for Figure SPM.5 from the Summary for Policymakers of the Working Group I (WGI) Contribution to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Sixth Assessment Report (AR6)
Abstract

Panel a) Comparison of observed and simulated annual mean surface temperature change. The left map shows the observed changes in annual mean surface temperature in the period of 1850–2020 per °C of global warming (°C). The local (i.e., grid point) observed annual mean surface temperature changes are linearly regressed against the global surface temperature in the period 1850–2020. Observed temperature data are from Berkeley Earth, the dataset with the largest coverage and highest horizontal resolution. Linear regression is applied to all years for which data at the corresponding grid point is available. The regression method was used to take into account the complete observational time series and thereby reduce the role of internal variability at the grid point level. White indicates areas where time coverage was 100 years or less and thereby too short to calculate a reliable linear regression. The right map is based on model simulations and shows change in annual multi-model mean simulated temperatures at a global warming level of 1°C (20-year mean global surface temperature change relative to 1850–1900). The triangles at each end of the color bar indicate out-of-bound values, that is, values above or below the given limits.

Panel b) Simulated annual mean temperature change (°C), panel c) precipitation change (%), and panel d) total column soil moisture change (standard deviation of interannual variability) at global warming levels of 1.5°C, 2°C and 4°C (20-yr mean global surface temperature change relative to 1850–1900). Simulated changes correspond to CMIP6 multi-model mean change (median change for soil moisture) at the corresponding global warming level, i.e. the same method as for the right map in panel a). In panel c), high positive percentage changes in dry regions may correspond to small absolute changes. In panel d), the unit is the standard deviation of interannual variability in soil moisture during 1850–1900. Standard deviation is a widely used metric in characterizing drought severity. A projected reduction in mean soil moisture by one standard deviation corresponds to soil moisture conditions typical of droughts that occurred about once every six years during 1850–1900. In panel d), large changes in dry regions with little interannual variability in the baseline conditions can correspond to small absolute change. The triangles at each end of the color bars indicate out-of-bound values, that is, values above or below the given limits. Results from all models reaching the corresponding warming level in any of the five illustrative scenarios (SSP1-1.9, SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, SSP3-7.0 and SSP5-8.5) are averaged. Maps of annual mean temperature and precipitation changes at a global warming level of 3°C are available in Figure 4.31 and Figure 4.32 in Section 4.6.
Corresponding maps of panels b), c) and d) including hatching to indicate the level of model agreement at grid-cell level are found in Figures 4.31, 4.32 and 11.19, respectively; as highlighted in CC-box Atlas.1, grid-cell level hatching is not informative for larger spatial scales (e.g., over AR6 reference regions) where the aggregated signals are less affected by small-scale variability leading to an increase in robustness.

{TS.1.3.2, Figure TS.3, Figure TS.5, Figure 1.14, 4.6.1, Cross-Chapter Box 11.1, Cross-Chapter Box Atlas.1}
Input Description

None
Output Description

None
Software Reference

None
  • long_name: Total Soil Moisture Content
  • var_id: mrso
  • units: std
  • var_id: conflict
  • var_id: consistent_change
  • var_id: model_nr
  • var_id: non_robust
  • var_id: panel
  • var_id: pr
  • units: kg m-2 s-1
  • var_id: tas
  • units: degC

Co-ordinate Variables

  • units: degrees_north
  • standard_name: latitude
  • long_name: latitude
  • var_id: lat
  • units: degrees_east
  • standard_name: longitude
  • long_name: longitude
  • var_id: lon
Coverage
Temporal Range
Start time:
1850-01-01T00:00:00
End time:
2100-12-31T23:59:59
Geographic Extent

 
90.0000°
  
-180.0000°
  
180.0000°
 
-90.0000°
  
Related parties
Authors (2)
Publishers (1)