This dataset contains the annual index of wind-driven rain (sum of all wind-driven rain spells in each year) derived from the UK Climate Projections (UKCP18) for a range of future global warming levels provided on a 5 km British National Grid (BNG). The annual index is calculated for eight wall orientations corresponding to the cardinal and ordinal points of the compass.

Wind-driven rain occurs when falling rain is blown by a horizontal wind so that it falls diagonally towards the ground. The annual index of wind-driven rain is the sum of all wind-driven rain spells for a given wall orientation and time period. It’s measured as the volume of rain blown from a given direction in the absence of any obstructions, with units of litres per square metre per year.

Wind-driven rain is calculated from hourly weather and climate data using an industry-standard formula from ISO 15927–3:2009, which is based on the product of wind speed and rainfall totals. Wind-driven rain is only calculated if the wind would strike a given wall orientation. A wind-driven rain spell is defined as a wet period separated by at least 96 hours with little or no rain (below a threshold of 0.001 litres per m2 per hour).

The annual index of wind-driven rain is calculated for a baseline (historical) period of 1981-2000 (corresponding to 0.61°C warming) and for global warming levels of 2.0°C and 4.0°C above the pre-industrial period (defined as 1850-1900). The warming between the pre-industrial period and baseline is the average value from six datasets of global mean temperatures available on the Met Office Climate Dashboard: https://climate.metoffice.cloud/dashboard.html.

The magnitudes of 1 in 3 year wind-driven rain spells (i.e. wet spells that would be expected to occur, on average, once every three years) are used to divide the UK into four zones in Approved Document C of the buildings regulations. The magnitudes of 1 in 3 year wind-driven rain spells were calculated for the baseline period (1981-2000) and 20-year periods corresponding to 2°C and 4°C of warming. The magnitudes of all wet spells (here, sum of hourly values of the wind-driven rain metric, I) were calculated, and the largest wet spell in each year was found (in the accompanying report, the magnitude of a wet spell is given the symbol Is' ["Is prime"] and has units of litres per metre-squared per spell). For each time period, the largest spells in all years and ensemble members were pooled together. A Gumbel distribution was fitted to the pooled data and used to estimate the magnitude of the 1 in 3 year wet spells across the UK.

Wind-driven rain is required for buildings standards. It is a major source of moisture in walls. Areas subject to very high levels of wind-driven rain may not be suitable for cavity-wall insulation. Under certain circumstances, cavity-wall insulation can enhance the transfer of moisture through walls to the inside of a building causing mould and damp problems.