Dataset
Summary for Policymakers of the Working Group I Contribution to the IPCC Sixth Assessment Report - data for Figure SPM.10 (v20210809)
Abstract
Data for Figure SPM.10 from the Summary for Policymakers (SPM) of the Working Group I (WGI) Contribution to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Sixth Assessment Report (AR6).
Figure SPM.10 shows global warming as a function of cumulative emissions of carbon dioxide.
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How to cite this dataset
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When citing this dataset, please include both the data citation below (under 'Citable as') and the following citation for the report component from which the figure originates:
IPCC, 2021: Summary for Policymakers. In: Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Masson-Delmotte, V., P. Zhai, A. Pirani, S.L. Connors, C. Péan, S. Berger, N. Caud, Y. Chen, L. Goldfarb, M.I. Gomis, M. Huang, K. Leitzell, E. Lonnoy, J.B.R. Matthews, T.K. Maycock, T. Waterfield, O. Yelekçi, R. Yu, and B. Zhou (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, pp. 3−32, doi:10.1017/9781009157896.001.
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Figure subpanels
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The figure has two panels that are closely linked. Data files for the top panel are labelled with 'Top_panel' while data files for the bottom panel are labelled with 'Bottom_panel'.
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List of data provided
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This dataset contains:
Top panel:
- Cumulative global total anthropogenic carbon dioxide emissions (1850-2019)
- Global surface temperature increase relative to 1850-1900 (1850-2019)
- Estimated human-caused warming relative to 1850-1900 (1850-2019)
- Projected global total anthropogenic carbon dioxide emissions for the five scenarios of the AR6 WGI core set of scenarios (2015-2050)
- Assessed global surface temperature increase relative to 1850-1900 for the five scenarios of the AR6 WGI core set of scenarios (2015-2050)
Bottom panel:
- Cumulative global total anthropogenic carbon dioxide emissions (1850-2019)
- Projected global total anthropogenic carbon dioxide emissions for the five scenarios of the AR6 WGI core set of scenarios (2015-2050)
The illustrative SSP (Shared Socio-economic Pathway) scenarios (referred to here as core scenarios) are described in Box SPM.1 of the Summary for Policymakers and Section 1.6.1.1 of Chapter 1.
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Data provided in relation to figure
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Top panel:
• Top_panel_HISTORY.csv: historical CO2 emissions, global surface temperature increase since 1850-1900 for the 1850-2019 period, estimated human-caused warming since 1850-1900 over the 1850-2019 period. [row 1 for black line, grey line and grey range, row 2 for black line, row 3 to 5 range and central grey range]
• Top_panel_SSP1-19.csv: projected CO2 emissions, assessed projections of global surface temperature increase relative to the 1850-1900 period for the period 2015-2050 [row 1 and 2 for central lines, row 1, 3, and 4 for ranges]
• Top_panel_SSP1-26.csv: projected CO2 emissions, assessed projections of global surface temperature increase relative to the 1850-1900 period for the period 2015-2050 [row 1 and 2 for central lines, row 1, 3, and 4 for ranges]
• Top_panel_SSP2-45.csv: projected CO2 emissions, assessed projections of global surface temperature increase relative to the 1850-1900 period for the period 2015-2050 [row 1 and 2 for central lines, row 1, 3, and 4 for ranges]
• Top_panel_SSP3-70.csv: projected CO2 emissions, assessed projections of global surface temperature increase relative to the 1850-1900 period for the period 2015-2050 [row 1 and 2 for central lines, row 1, 3, and 4 for ranges]
• Top_panel_SSP5-85.csv: projected CO2 emissions, assessed projections of global surface temperature increase relative to the 1850-1900 period for the period 2015-2050 [row 1 and 2 for central lines, row 1, 3, and 4 for ranges]
Bottom panel:
• Bottom_panel_GtCO2_historical.csv: historical CO2 emissions [grey bars]
• Bottom_panel_GtCO2_projections.csv; projected CO2 emissions for the five scenarios in the core set of IPCC AR6 WG1 scenarios [coloured bars]
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Sources of additional information
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The following weblinks are provided in the Related Documents section of this catalogue record:
- Link to the report webpage, which includes the report component containing the figure (Summary for Policymakers) the Technical Summary (Section TS.3.3). and the Supplementary Material for Chapter 5, which contains details on the input data used in Table 5.SM.6 (Figure 5.31)
- Link to related publications for input data
Details
| Previous Info: |
No news update for this record
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| Previously used record identifiers: |
No related previous identifiers.
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| Access rules: |
Public data: access to these data is available to both registered and non-registered users.
Use of these data is covered by the following licence(s): http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ When using these data you must cite them correctly using the citation given on the CEDA Data Catalogue record. |
| Data lineage: |
Data produced by Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) authors and supplied for archiving at the Centre for Environmental Data Analysis (CEDA) by the Technical Support Unit (TSU) for IPCC Working Group I (WGI). |
| File Format: |
Data are CSV formatted.
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Related Documents
Process overview
| Title | Caption for Figure SPM.10 from the Summary for Policymakers of the Working Group I (WGI) Contribution to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Sixth Assessment Report (AR6) |
| Abstract | Near-linear relationship between cumulative CO2 emissions and the increase in global surface temperature. Top panel: Historical data (thin black line) shows observed global surface temperature increase in °C since 1850–1900 as a function of historical cumulative carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions in GtCO2 from 1850 to 2019. The grey range with its central line shows a corresponding estimate of the historical human-caused surface warming (see Figure SPM.2). Coloured areas show the assessed very likely range of global surface temperature projections, and thick coloured central lines show the median estimate as a function of cumulative CO2 emissions from 2020 until year 2050 for the set of illustrative scenarios (SSP1-1.9, SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, SSP3-7.0, and SSP5-8.5, see Figure SPM.4). Projections use the cumulative CO2 emissions of each respective scenario, and the projected global warming includes the contribution from all anthropogenic forcers. The relationship is illustrated over the domain of cumulative CO2 emissions for which there is high confidence that the transient climate response to cumulative CO2 emissions (TCRE) remains constant, and for the time period from 1850 to 2050 over which global CO2 emissions remain net positive under all illustrative scenarios as there is limited evidence supporting the quantitative application of TCRE to estimate temperature evolution under net negative CO2 emissions. Bottom panel: Historical and projected cumulative CO2 emissions in GtCO2 for the respective scenarios. {Figure TS.18, Figure 5.31, Section 5.5} |
| Input Description | None |
| Output Description | None |
| Software Reference | None |
No variables found.
Temporal Range
1850-01-01T00:00:00
2050-12-31T23:59:59
Geographic Extent
90.0000° |
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-180.0000° |
180.0000° |
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-90.0000° |