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Dataset

 

Chapter 4 of the Working Group I Contribution to the IPCC Sixth Assessment Report - data for Figure 4.19 (v20230203)

Update Frequency: Not Planned
Latest Data Update: 2023-02-15
Status: Ongoing
Online Status: ONLINE
Publication State: Citable
Publication Date: 2023-06-07
DOI Publication Date: 2023-07-03
Download Stats: last 12 months
Dataset Size: 3 Files | 7MB

Abstract

Data for Figure 4.19 from Chapter 4 of the Working Group I (WGI) Contribution to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Sixth Assessment Report (AR6).

Figure 4.19 shows the projected mid- and long-term change of annual mean surface temperature.

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How to cite this dataset
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When citing this dataset, please include both the data citation below (under 'Citable as') and the following citation for the report component from which the figure originates:
Lee, J.-Y., J. Marotzke, G. Bala, L. Cao, S. Corti, J.P. Dunne, F. Engelbrecht, E. Fischer, J.C. Fyfe, C. Jones, A. Maycock, J. Mutemi, O. Ndiaye, S. Panickal, and T. Zhou, 2021: Future Global Climate: Scenario-Based Projections and Near-Term Information. In Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Masson-Delmotte, V., P. Zhai, A. Pirani, S.L. Connors, C. Péan, S. Berger, N. Caud, Y. Chen, L. Goldfarb, M.I. Gomis, M. Huang, K. Leitzell, E. Lonnoy, J.B.R. Matthews, T.K. Maycock, T. Waterfield, O. Yelekçi, R. Yu, and B. Zhou (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, pp. 553–672, doi:10.1017/9781009157896.006.

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Figure subpanels
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The figure has four panels, with data provided for all panels in one NetCDF file.
a) Global projected spatial patterns of multi-model mean change in annual mean near-surface air temperature (°C) in 2041-2060 relative to 1995-2014 in SSP1-2.6
b) Global projected spatial patterns of multi-model mean change in annual mean near-surface air temperature (°C) in 2081-2100 relative to 1995-2014 in SSP1-2.6
c) Global projected spatial patterns of multi-model mean change in annual mean near-surface air temperature (°C) in 2041-2060 relative to 1995-2014 in SSP3-7.0
d) Global projected spatial patterns of multi-model mean change in annual mean near-surface air temperature (°C) in 2081-2100 relative to 1995-2014 in SSP3-7.0

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List of data provided
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CMIP6 multi-model mean projected change in surface air temperature (2041–2060 and 2081-2100) from SSP1‑2.6 and SSP3‑7.0 relative to 1995–2014.

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Data provided in relation to figure
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The variable tas includes the map information as a function of latitude and longitude and has a dimension named panel, which includes the data for all panels a-d.

CMIP6 is the sixth phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project.
SSP1-2.6 is based on Shared Socioeconomic Pathway SSP1 with low climate change mitigation and adaptation challenges and RCP2.6, a future pathway with a radiative forcing of 2.6 W/m2 in the year 2100.
SSP3-7.0 is based on Shared Socioeconomic Pathway SSP3 which is characterized by high challenges to both mitigation and adaptation and RCP7.0, a future pathway with a radiative forcing of 7.0 W/m2 in the year 2100.

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Sources of additional information
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The following weblinks are provided in the Related Documents section of this catalogue record:
- Link to the figure on the IPCC AR6 website
- Link to the report component containing the figure (Chapter 4)
- Link to the Supplementary Material for Chapter 4, which contains details on the input data used in Table 4.SM.1

Citable as:  Fischer, E. (2023): Chapter 4 of the Working Group I Contribution to the IPCC Sixth Assessment Report - data for Figure 4.19 (v20230203). NERC EDS Centre for Environmental Data Analysis, 03 July 2023. doi:10.5285/dce10ff4596241e190aaea9291cc4249. https://dx.doi.org/10.5285/dce10ff4596241e190aaea9291cc4249
Abbreviation: Not defined
Keywords: IPCC-DDC, IPCC, AR6, WG1, WGI, Chapter 4, Sixth Assessment Report, Working Group 1, Physical Science Basis, surface temperature

Details

Previous Info:
No news update for this record
Previously used record identifiers:
No related previous identifiers.
Access rules:
Public data: access to these data is available to both registered and non-registered users.
Use of these data is covered by the following licence(s):
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
When using these data you must cite them correctly using the citation given on the CEDA Data Catalogue record.
Data lineage:

Data produced by Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) authors and supplied for archiving at the Centre for Environmental Data Analysis (CEDA) by the Technical Support Unit (TSU) for IPCC Working Group I (WGI).
Data curated on behalf of the IPCC Data Distribution Centre (IPCC-DDC).

Data Quality:
Data as provided by the IPCC
File Format:
Data are netCDF formatted

Process overview

This dataset was generated by the computation detailed below.
Title

Caption for Figure 4.19 from Chapter 4 of the Working Group I (WGI) Contribution to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Sixth Assessment Report (AR6)

Abstract

Mid- and long-term change of annual mean surface temperature. Displayed are projected spatial patterns of multi-model mean change in annual mean near-surface air temperature (°C) in 2041–2060 and 2081–2100 relative to 1995–2014 for (top) SSP1-2.6 and (bottom) SSP3-7.0. The number of models used is indicated in the top right of the maps. No overlay indicates regions where the change is robust and likely emerges from internal variability, that is, where at least 66% of the models show a change greater than the internal-variability threshold (see Section 4.2.6) and at least 80% of the models agree on the sign of change. Diagonal lines indicate regions with no change or no robust significant change, where fewer than 66% of the models show change greater than the internal-variability threshold. Crossed lines indicate areas of conflicting signals where at least 66% of the models show change greater than the internal-variability threshold but fewer than 80% of all models agree on the sign of change. Further details on data sources and processing are available in the chapter data table (Table 4.SM.1).

Input Description

None

Output Description

None

Software Reference

None

  • var_id: crosshatch
  • var_id: hatch
  • var_id: model_nr
  • var_id: panel
  • var_id: tas
  • units: degC

Co-ordinate Variables

  • units: degrees_north
  • standard_name: latitude
  • var_id: lat
  • units: degrees_east
  • standard_name: longitude
  • var_id: lon
Coverage
Temporal Range
Start time:
2041-01-01T12:00:00
End time:
2100-12-31T12:00:00
Geographic Extent

 
90.0000°
 
-180.0000°
 
180.0000°
 
-90.0000°
 
Related parties
Authors (1)