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Dataset

 

Chapter 4 of the Working Group I Contribution to the IPCC Sixth Assessment Report - data for Figure 4.41 (v20230213)

Update Frequency: Not Planned
Latest Data Update: 2023-02-15
Status: Ongoing
Online Status: ONLINE
Publication State: Citable
Publication Date: 2023-06-07
DOI Publication Date: 2023-07-03
Download Stats: last 12 months
Dataset Size: 4 Files | 2MB

Abstract

Data for Figure 4.41 from Chapter 4 of the Working Group I (WGI) Contribution to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Sixth Assessment Report (AR6).

Figure 4.41 shows high-warming storylines for changes in annual mean temperature.

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How to cite this dataset
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When citing this dataset, please include both the data citation below (under 'Citable as') and the following citation for the report component from which the figure originates:
Lee, J.-Y., J. Marotzke, G. Bala, L. Cao, S. Corti, J.P. Dunne, F. Engelbrecht, E. Fischer, J.C. Fyfe, C. Jones, A. Maycock, J. Mutemi, O. Ndiaye, S. Panickal, and T. Zhou, 2021: Future Global Climate: Scenario-Based Projections and Near-Term Information. In Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Masson-Delmotte, V., P. Zhai, A. Pirani, S.L. Connors, C. Péan, S. Berger, N. Caud, Y. Chen, L. Goldfarb, M.I. Gomis, M. Huang, K. Leitzell, E. Lonnoy, J.B.R. Matthews, T.K. Maycock, T. Waterfield, O. Yelekçi, R. Yu, and B. Zhou (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, pp. 553–672, doi:10.1017/9781009157896.006.

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Figure subpanels
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The figure has eight panels, with data provided for all panels in two files one including data for panels a, c, e, g and the other for panels b, d, f, h.

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List of data provided
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This dataset contains temperature change patterns for the multi model means and different low-likelihood high warming storylines.

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Data provided in relation to figure
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Data file Data_shown_in_figure_panels_aceg.nc includes the temperature change pattern for the four panels as different variables called panelA, panelC, panelE and panel G, respectively.
Data file Data_shown_in_figure_panels_bdfh.nc includes the temperature change pattern for the four panels as different variables called panelB, panelD, panelF and panel H, respectively.

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Sources of additional information
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The following weblinks are provided in the Related Documents section of this catalogue record:
- Link to the figure on the IPCC AR6 website
- Link to the report component containing the figure (Chapter 4)
- Link to the Supplementary Material for Chapter 4, which contains details on the input data used in Table 4.SM.1

Citable as:  Fischer, E. (2023): Chapter 4 of the Working Group I Contribution to the IPCC Sixth Assessment Report - data for Figure 4.41 (v20230213). NERC EDS Centre for Environmental Data Analysis, 03 July 2023. doi:10.5285/e397fe6f20024295b095e2e3ca1e9f04. https://dx.doi.org/10.5285/e397fe6f20024295b095e2e3ca1e9f04
Abbreviation: Not defined
Keywords: IPCC-DDC, IPCC, AR6, WG1, WGI, Chapter 4, Sixth Assessment Report, Working Group 1, Physical Science Basis, temperature

Details

Previous Info:
No news update for this record
Previously used record identifiers:
No related previous identifiers.
Access rules:
Public data: access to these data is available to both registered and non-registered users.
Use of these data is covered by the following licence: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/. When using these data you must cite them correctly using the citation given on the CEDA Data Catalogue record.
Data lineage:

Data produced by Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) authors and supplied for archiving at the Centre for Environmental Data Analysis (CEDA) by the Technical Support Unit (TSU) for IPCC Working Group I (WGI).
Data curated on behalf of the IPCC Data Distribution Centre (IPCC-DDC).

Data Quality:
Data as provided by the IPCC
File Format:
Data are netCDF formatted

Process overview

This dataset was generated by the computation detailed below.
Title

Caption for Figure 4.41 from Chapter 4 of the Working Group I (WGI) Contribution to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Sixth Assessment Report (AR6)

Abstract

High-warming storylines for changes in annual mean temperature. (a, b) Changes in 2081–2100 relative to 1995–2014 consistent with the assessed best global surface air temperature (GSAT) estimate (0.9°C and 3.5°C relative to 1995–2014 for SSP1-2.6 and SSP5-8.5, respectively). The CMIP6 multi-model mean is linearly pattern-scaled to the best GSAT estimate. (c–h) Annual mean warming above the best estimate, relative to panels (a) and (b) respectively; note the different colour bar in a high and very high-warming storyline for 2081–2100. (c, d) Multi-model mean warming pattern scaled to very high GSAT level corresponding to the upper bound of the assessed very likely range (4.8°C for SSP5-8.5 and 1.5°C for SSP1-2.6; see Section 4.3.4). (e, f) Average of five models with high GSAT warming nearest to the upper estimate of the very likely range (CESM2, CESM2-WACCM, CNRM-CM6-1, CNRM-CM6-1-HR, EC-Earth3 for SSP1-2.6 and ACCESS-CM2, CESM2, CESM2-WACCM, CNRM-CM6-1, CNRM-CM6-1-HRfor SSP5-8.5); (g, h) Average of four and five models, respectively (ACCESS-CM2, HadGEM3-GC31-LL, HadGEM3-GC31-MM, UKESM1-0-LL for SSP1-2.6 and CanESM5, CanESM5-CanOE, HadGEM3-GC31-LL: HadGEM3-GC31-MM, UKESM1-0-LL for SSP5-8.5) projecting very high GSAT warming exceeding the very likely range. Further details on data sources and processing are available in the chapter data table (Table 4.SM.1).

Input Description

None

Output Description

None

Software Reference

None

  • units: C
  • var_id: panelG
  • long_name: Temperature change

Co-ordinate Variables

  • units: degrees_north
  • standard_name: latitude
  • var_id: lat
  • units: degrees_east
  • standard_name: longitude
  • var_id: lon
Coverage
Temporal Range
Start time:
2081-01-01T12:00:00
End time:
2100-12-31T12:00:00
Geographic Extent

 
90.0000°
 
-180.0000°
 
180.0000°
 
-90.0000°
 
Related parties
Authors (1)