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Dataset

 

Technical Summary of the Working Group I Contribution to the IPCC Sixth Assessment Report - data for Box TS.7, Figure 1 (v20221216)

Update Frequency: Not Planned
Latest Data Update: 2022-12-16
Status: Ongoing
Online Status: ONLINE
Publication State: Citable
Publication Date: 2023-06-06
DOI Publication Date: 2023-09-26
Download Stats: last 12 months
Dataset Size: 3 Files | 8KB

Abstract

Data for Box TS.7, Figure 1 from the Technical Summary of the Working Group I (WGI) Contribution to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Sixth Assessment Report (AR6).

Box TS.7 figure 1 shows the effects of short-lived climate forcers (SLCFs) on global surface temperature and air pollution across the WGI core set of Shared Socio-economic Pathways (SSPs).

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How to cite this dataset
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When citing this dataset, please include both the data citation below (under 'Citable as') and the following citation for the report component from which the figure originates:
Arias, P.A., N. Bellouin, E. Coppola, R.G. Jones, G. Krinner, J. Marotzke, V. Naik, M.D. Palmer, G.-K. Plattner, J. Rogelj, M. Rojas, J. Sillmann, T. Storelvmo, P.W. Thorne, B. Trewin, K. Achuta Rao, B. Adhikary, R.P. Allan, K. Armour, G. Bala, R. Barimalala, S. Berger, J.G. Canadell, C. Cassou, A. Cherchi, W. Collins, W.D. Collins, S.L. Connors, S. Corti, F. Cruz, F.J. Dentener, C. Dereczynski, A. Di Luca, A. Diongue Niang, F.J. Doblas-Reyes, A. Dosio, H. Douville, F. Engelbrecht, V. Eyring, E. Fischer, P. Forster, B. Fox-Kemper, J.S. Fuglestvedt, J.C. Fyfe, N.P. Gillett, L. Goldfarb, I. Gorodetskaya, J.M. Gutierrez, R. Hamdi, E. Hawkins, H.T. Hewitt, P. Hope, A.S. Islam, C. Jones, D.S. Kaufman, R.E. Kopp, Y. Kosaka, J. Kossin, S. Krakovska, J.-Y. Lee, J. Li, T. Mauritsen, T.K. Maycock, M. Meinshausen, S.-K. Min, P.M.S. Monteiro, T. Ngo-Duc, F. Otto, I. Pinto, A. Pirani, K. Raghavan, R. Ranasinghe, A.C. Ruane, L. Ruiz, J.-B. Sallée, B.H. Samset, S. Sathyendranath, S.I. Seneviratne, A.A. Sörensson, S. Szopa, I. Takayabu, A.-M. Tréguier, B. van den Hurk, R. Vautard, K. von Schuckmann, S. Zaehle, X. Zhang, and K. Zickfeld, 2021: Technical Summary. In Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Masson-Delmotte, V., P. Zhai, A. Pirani, S.L. Connors, C. Péan, S. Berger, N. Caud, Y. Chen, L. Goldfarb, M.I. Gomis, M. Huang, K. Leitzell, E. Lonnoy, J.B.R. Matthews, T.K. Maycock, T. Waterfield, O. Yelekçi, R. Yu, and B. Zhou (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, pp. 33−144, doi:10.1017/9781009157896.002.

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Figure subpanels
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The figure has three panels, data provided for the right part of panels b and c in one single file. 

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List of data provided
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This dataset contains global changes in air pollutant concentrations (ozone and PM2.5), based on multimodel CMIP6 simulations:

- changes in 5-year mean surface continental concentrations for 2040, relative to 2019.
- changes in 5-year mean surface continental concentrations for 2098, relative to 2019.

Data are for the SSP1-1.9, SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, SSP3-7.0, SSP3-7.0 lowSLCF highCH4,  SSP3-7.0 lowSLCF lowCH4 and SSP5-8.5 scenarios.

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Data provided in relation to figure
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Data file Box_TS7_figure1.csv relates to the right part of panels b and c.

- Column 5 is used for the green bars
- Columns 4 and 6 are used for the standard deviation plotted over the green bars.
- Column 8 is used for the purple bars.
- Columns 7 and 9 are used for the standard deviation plotted over the purple bars.

PM2.5 refers to particulate matter that are 2.5 micrometers or less in diameter.
CMIP6 is the sixth phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project.
SSP1-2.6 is based on Shared Socioeconomic Pathway SSP1 with low climate change mitigation and adaptation challenges and RCP2.6, a future pathway with a radiative forcing of 2.6 W/m2 in the year 2100.
SSP2-4.5 is based on Shared Socioeconomic Pathway SSP2 with medium challenges to climate change mitigation and adaptation and RCP4.5, a future pathway with a radiative forcing of 4.5 W/m2 in the year 2100.
SSP5-8.5 is based on Shares Socioeconomic Pathway SSP5 where climate change mitigation challenges dominate and RCP8.5, a future pathway with a radiative forcing of 8.5 W/m2 in the year 2100.
SLCF stands for short-lived climate forcers.

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Notes on reproducing the figure from the provided data
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- Data Sources for effect on GSAT are the same as in Figure 6.24 (see Chapter 6 Supplementary Material Table 6.SM.3).

- Data Sources for effect on surface PM2.5 and O3 are the same as in Figures 6.20 and 6.21 (see Chapter 6 Supplementary Material Table 6.SM.3)

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Sources of additional information
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The following weblinks are provided in the Related Documents section of this catalogue record:
- Link to the figure on the IPCC AR6 website
- Link to the report component containing the figure (Technical Summary)
- Links to the report components of the underlying chapter figures from which part of this figure was generated (Chapter 6)
- Link to the Supplementary Material for Chapter 6, which contains details on the input data used in Table 6.SM.3

Citable as:  Turnock, S.; Blichner, S.M.; Berntsen, T.; Szopa, S. (2023): Technical Summary of the Working Group I Contribution to the IPCC Sixth Assessment Report - data for Box TS.7, Figure 1 (v20221216). NERC EDS Centre for Environmental Data Analysis, 26 September 2023. doi:10.5285/fe6074fee8a64a738cf89f0294bd9fb9. https://dx.doi.org/10.5285/fe6074fee8a64a738cf89f0294bd9fb9
Abbreviation: Not defined
Keywords: SLCFs, air pollution, ozone, PM2.5, SSP, mitigation, GSAT, IPCC-DDC, IPCC, AR6, WG1, WGI, Sixth Assessment Report, Working Group 1, Physical Science Basis

Details

Previous Info:
No news update for this record
Previously used record identifiers:
No related previous identifiers.
Access rules:
Public data: access to these data is available to both registered and non-registered users.
Use of these data is covered by the following licence(s):
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
When using these data you must cite them correctly using the citation given on the CEDA Data Catalogue record.
Data lineage:

Data produced by Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) authors and supplied for archiving at the Centre for Environmental Data Analysis (CEDA) by the Technical Support Unit (TSU) for IPCC Working Group I (WGI).
Data curated on behalf of the IPCC Data Distribution Centre (IPCC-DDC).

Data Quality:
Data as provided by the IPCC
File Format:
Data are CSV formatted

Process overview

This dataset was generated by the computation detailed below.
Title

Caption for Box TS.7, Figure 1 from the Technical Summary of the Working Group I (WGI) Contribution to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Sixth Assessment Report (AR6)

Abstract

Effects of short-lived climate forcers (SLCFs) on global surface temperature and air pollution across the WGI core set of Shared Socio-economic Pathways (SSPs). The intent of this figure is to show the climate and air quality (surface ozone and particulate matter smaller than 2.5 microns in diameter, or PM2.5) response to SLCFs in the SSP scenarios for the near and long-term. Effects of net aerosols, tropospheric ozone, hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs; with lifetimes less than 50 years), and methane (CH4) are compared with those of total anthropogenic forcing for 2040 and 2100 relative to year 2019. The global surface temperature changes are based on historical and future evolution of effective radiative forcing (ERF) as assessed in Chapter 7 of this Report. The temperature responses to the ERFs are calculated with a common impulse response function (RT) for the climate response, consistent with the metric calculations in Chapter 7 (Box 7.1). The RT has an equilibrium climate sensitivity of 3.0°C for a doubling of atmospheric CO2 concentration (feedback parameter of –1.31 W m–2°C–1). The scenario total (grey bar) includes all anthropogenic forcings (long- and short-lived climate forcers, and land-use changes). Uncertainties are 5–95% ranges. The global changes in air pollutant concentrations (ozone and PM2.5) are based on multimodel Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) simulations and represent changes in five-year mean surface continental concentrations for 2040 and 2098 relative to 2019. Uncertainty bars represent inter-model ±1 standard deviation. {6.7.2, 6.7.3, Figure 6.24}

Input Description

None

Output Description

None

Software Reference

None

No variables found.

Coverage
Temporal Range
Start time:
2040-01-01T12:00:00
End time:
2100-12-31T12:00:00
Geographic Extent

 
90.0000°
 
-180.0000°
 
180.0000°
 
-90.0000°