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Dataset

 

Chapter 9 of the Working Group I Contribution to the IPCC Sixth Assessment Report - data for Figure 9.29 (v20221114)

Latest Data Update: 2022-11-14
Status: Ongoing
Online Status: ONLINE
Publication State: Citable
Publication Date: 2023-02-07
DOI Publication Date: 2023-05-17
Download Stats: last 12 months
Dataset Size: 3 Files | 4KB

Abstract

Data for Figure 9.29 from Chapter 9 of the Working Group I (WGI) Contribution to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Sixth Assessment Report (AR6).

Figure 9.29 shows timing of when global mean sea level (GMSL) thresholds of 0.5, 1.0, 1.5 and 2.0 m are exceeded, based on four different ice-sheet projection methods informing post-2100 projections.

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How to cite this dataset
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When citing this dataset, please include both the data citation below (under 'Citable as') and the following citation for the report component from which the figure originates:
Fox-Kemper, B., H.T. Hewitt, C. Xiao, G. Aðalgeirsdóttir, S.S. Drijfhout, T.L. Edwards, N.R. Golledge, M. Hemer, R.E. Kopp, G. Krinner, A. Mix, D. Notz, S. Nowicki, I.S. Nurhati, L. Ruiz, J.-B. Sallée, A.B.A. Slangen, and Y. Yu, 2021: Ocean, Cryosphere and Sea Level Change. In Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Masson-Delmotte, V., P. Zhai, A. Pirani, S.L. Connors, C. Péan, S. Berger, N. Caud, Y. Chen, L. Goldfarb, M.I. Gomis, M. Huang, K. Leitzell, E. Lonnoy, J.B.R. Matthews, T.K. Maycock, T. Waterfield, O. Yelekçi, R. Yu, and B. Zhou (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, pp. 1211–1362, doi:10.1017/9781009157896.011.

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Figure subpanels
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The figure has two panels, with data provided for panels SSP1-2.6 and SSP5-8.5 separately.

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List of data provided
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This dataset contains:

- Timing of GMSL threshold exceedance at 0.5m, 1.0m, 1.5m, 2.0m based on four ice-sheet projection methods informing post-2100 methods.

Methods are labelled based on their treatment of ice sheets.
- ‘No acceleration’ assumes constant rates of mass change after 2100.
- ‘Assessed ice sheet’ models post-2100 ice-sheet losses using a parametric fit (Supplementary Material 9.SM.4) extending to 2300 based on a multi-model assessment of contributions under RCP2.6 and RCP8.5 at 2300.
- Marine ice-cliff instability (MICI) combines the parametric fit (Supplementary Material 9.SM3.4) for Greenland with Antarctic projections based on DeConto et al. (2021).
- Structured expert judgement (SEJ) employs ice-sheet projections from Bamber et al. (2019).

Circles, thick bars and thin bars represent the 50th, 17th–83rd and 5th–95th percentiles of the exceedance timing for the indicated projection method.

Further details on data sources and processing are available in the chapter data table (Table 9.SM.9).

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Data provided in relation to figure
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Data provided in relation to Figure 9.29

- Data file: Fig9-29_ssp126_data.nc
- Data file: Fig9-29_ssp585_data.nc

GMSL stands for Global Mean Sea Level.
RCP stands for Representative Concentration Pathway.
SSP126 is the Shared Socioeconomic Pathway which represents the lower boundary of radiative forcing and development scenarios, consistent with RCP2.6.
SSP585 is the Shared Socioeconomic Pathway which represents the upper boundary of radiative forcing and development scenarios, consistent with RCP8.5.

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Notes on reproducing the figure from the provided data
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Projected exceedances were plotted using standard matplotlib software - code is available via the link in the documentation.

The provided R code for generating this plot uses relative paths. Be sure to set your session's working directory to the location of the R code before running the code.

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Sources of additional information
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The following weblinks are provided in the Related Documents section of this catalogue record:
- Link to the figure on the IPCC AR6 website
- Link to the report component containing the figure (Chapter 9)
- Link to the Supplementary Material for Chapter 9, which contains details on the input data used in Table 9.SM.9
- Link to the data and code used to produce this figure and others in Chapter 9, archived on Zenodo.
- Link to the output data for this figure, contained in a dedicated GitHub repository.

Citable as:  Garner, G.; Kopp, R. (2023): Chapter 9 of the Working Group I Contribution to the IPCC Sixth Assessment Report - data for Figure 9.29 (v20221114). NERC EDS Centre for Environmental Data Analysis, 17 May 2023. doi:10.5285/ff28d78693f645aa820266d472a6e1b3. https://dx.doi.org/10.5285/ff28d78693f645aa820266d472a6e1b3
Abbreviation: Not defined
Keywords: IPCC-DDC, IPCC, AR6, WG1, WGI, Sixth Assessment Report, Working Group 1, Physical Science Basis, sea-level, projection, milestone, exceedance, timing, sea level, sea-level rise

Details

Previous Info:
No news update for this record
Previously used record identifiers:
No related previous identifiers.
Access rules:
Public data: access to these data is available to both registered and non-registered users.
Use of these data is covered by the following licence(s):
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
When using these data you must cite them correctly using the citation given on the CEDA Data Catalogue record.
Data lineage:

Data produced by Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) authors and supplied for archiving at the Centre for Environmental Data Analysis (CEDA) by the Technical Support Unit (TSU) for IPCC Working Group I (WGI).
Data curated on behalf of the IPCC Data Distribution Centre (IPCC-DDC).

Data Quality:
Data as provided by the IPCC
File Format:
Data are net-CDF formatted

Process overview

This dataset was generated by the computation detailed below.
Title

Caption for Figure 9.29 from Chapter 9 of the Working Group I (WGI) Contribution to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Sixth Assessment Report (AR6)

Abstract

Timing of when global mean sea level (GMSL) thresholds of 0.5, 1.0, 1.5 and 2.0 m are exceeded, based on four different ice-sheet projection methods informing post-2100 projections. Methods are labelled based on their treatment of ice sheets. ‘No acceleration’ assumes constant rates of mass change after 2100. ‘Assessed ice sheet’ models post-2100 ice-sheet losses using a parametric fit (Supplementary Material 9.SM.4) extending to 2300 based on a multi-model assessment of contributions under RCP2.6 and RCP8.5 at 2300. Structured expert judgement (SEJ) employs ice-sheet projections from Bamber et al. (2019). Marine ice-cliff instability (MICI) combines the parametric fit (Supplementary Material 9.SM3.4) for Greenland with Antarctic projections based on DeConto et al. (2021). Circles, thick bars and thin bars represent the 50th, 17th–83rd and 5th–95th percentiles of the exceedance timing for the indicated projection method. Further details on data sources and processing are available in the chapter data table (Table 9.SM.9).

Input Description

None

Output Description

None

Software Reference

None

  • units: year
  • var_id: Assessed_ice_sheets
  • units: year
  • var_id: MICI
  • units: year
  • var_id: No_acceleration
  • units: year
  • var_id: SEJ
  • var_id: height
  • long_name: height
  • units: meters
  • var_id: percentile
  • long_name: percentile

Co-ordinate Variables

Coverage
Temporal Range
Start time:
2020-01-01T00:00:00
End time:
2300-12-31T23:59:59
Geographic Extent

 
90.0000°
 
-180.0000°
 
180.0000°
 
-90.0000°