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Dataset

 

Technical Summary of the Working Group I Contribution to the IPCC Sixth Assessment Report - data for Box TS.13, Figure 1 (v20230606)

Update Frequency: Not Planned
Latest Data Update: 2023-06-06
Status: Ongoing
Online Status: ONLINE
Publication State: Citable
Publication Date: 2023-06-07
DOI Publication Date: 2023-09-26
Download Stats: last 12 months
Dataset Size: 5 Files | 48KB

Abstract

Data for Box TS.13, Figure 1 from the Technical Summary of the Working Group I (WGI) Contribution to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Sixth Assessment Report (AR6).

Box TS.13, Figure 1 shows global and regional monsoons: past trends and projected changes

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How to cite this dataset
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When citing this dataset, please include both the data citation below (under 'Citable as') and the following citation for the report component from which the figure originates:
Arias, P.A., N. Bellouin, E. Coppola, R.G. Jones, G. Krinner, J. Marotzke, V. Naik, M.D. Palmer, G.-K. Plattner, J. Rogelj, M. Rojas, J. Sillmann, T. Storelvmo, P.W. Thorne, B. Trewin, K. Achuta Rao, B. Adhikary, R.P. Allan, K. Armour, G. Bala, R. Barimalala, S. Berger, J.G. Canadell, C. Cassou, A. Cherchi, W. Collins, W.D. Collins, S.L. Connors, S. Corti, F. Cruz, F.J. Dentener, C. Dereczynski, A. Di Luca, A. Diongue Niang, F.J. Doblas-Reyes, A. Dosio, H. Douville, F. Engelbrecht, V. Eyring, E. Fischer, P. Forster, B. Fox-Kemper, J.S. Fuglestvedt, J.C. Fyfe, N.P. Gillett, L. Goldfarb, I. Gorodetskaya, J.M. Gutierrez, R. Hamdi, E. Hawkins, H.T. Hewitt, P. Hope, A.S. Islam, C. Jones, D.S. Kaufman, R.E. Kopp, Y. Kosaka, J. Kossin, S. Krakovska, J.-Y. Lee, J. Li, T. Mauritsen, T.K. Maycock, M. Meinshausen, S.-K. Min, P.M.S. Monteiro, T. Ngo-Duc, F. Otto, I. Pinto, A. Pirani, K. Raghavan, R. Ranasinghe, A.C. Ruane, L. Ruiz, J.-B. Sallée, B.H. Samset, S. Sathyendranath, S.I. Seneviratne, A.A. Sörensson, S. Szopa, I. Takayabu, A.-M. Tréguier, B. van den Hurk, R. Vautard, K. von Schuckmann, S. Zaehle, X. Zhang, and K. Zickfeld, 2021: Technical Summary. In Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Masson-Delmotte, V., P. Zhai, A. Pirani, S.L. Connors, C. Péan, S. Berger, N. Caud, Y. Chen, L. Goldfarb, M.I. Gomis, M. Huang, K. Leitzell, E. Lonnoy, J.B.R. Matthews, T.K. Maycock, T. Waterfield, O. Yelekçi, R. Yu, and B. Zhou (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, pp. 33−144, doi:10.1017/9781009157896.002.

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Figure subpanels
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The figure has three panels with data provided for panels b and c.

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List of data provided
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This dataset contains

- processed data for the figure from observation (CRU, GPCC & APHRO)
- CMIP6 (DAMIP and future projection;SSP2-4.5)

CMIP6 is the sixth phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project.
DAMIP is the Detection and Attribution Model Intercomparison Project
SSP2-4.5 is based on Shared Socioeconomic Pathway SSP2 with medium challenges to climate change mitigation and adaptation and RCP4.5, a future pathway with a radiative forcing of 4.5 W/m2 in the year 2100.

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Data provided in relation to figure
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Percentile values for box and whisker plots and observed trends; for regional and global monsoon areas.

- Data file: BoxTS.13.Fig1b_data.nc relates to panel b, showing historical trend in monsoon precipitation
- Data file: BoxTS.13.Fig1c_data.nc relates to panel c, showing projected future change in monsoon precipitation (SSP2-4.45)

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Notes on reproducing the figure from the provided data
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The data can be used directly to plot the figure.

For more details on the datasets used, please refer to the data table of Chapter 8 linked in the Related Documents.

This dataset is also used in Figure 8.11 and Figure 8.22 , Chapter 8, AR6.

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Sources of additional information
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The following weblinks are provided in the Related Documents section of this catalogue record:
- Link to the figure on the IPCC AR6 website
- Link to the report component containing the figure (Technical Summary)
- Link to the Supplementary Material for Chapter 8, which contains details on the input data used in Table 8.SM.1

Citable as:  TP, S. (2023): Technical Summary of the Working Group I Contribution to the IPCC Sixth Assessment Report - data for Box TS.13, Figure 1 (v20230606). NERC EDS Centre for Environmental Data Analysis, 26 September 2023. doi:10.5285/0481959c92944c41983dd024172ef84d. https://dx.doi.org/10.5285/0481959c92944c41983dd024172ef84d
Abbreviation: Not defined
Keywords: Regional monsoon precipitation changes from observations and model attribution; Projected regional monsoons precipitation changes, IPCC-DDC, IPCC, AR6, WG1, WGI, Sixth Assessment Report, Working Group 1, Physical Science Basis

Details

Previous Info:
No news update for this record
Previously used record identifiers:
No related previous identifiers.
Access rules:
Public data: access to these data is available to both registered and non-registered users.
Use of these data is covered by the following licence: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/. When using these data you must cite them correctly using the citation given on the CEDA Data Catalogue record.
Data lineage:

Data produced by Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) authors and supplied for archiving at the Centre for Environmental Data Analysis (CEDA) by the Technical Support Unit (TSU) for IPCC Working Group I (WGI).
Data curated on behalf of the IPCC Data Distribution Centre (IPCC-DDC).

Data Quality:
Data as provided by the IPCC
File Format:
Data are netCDF formatted

Process overview

This dataset was generated by the computation detailed below.
Title

Caption for Box TS.13, Figure 1 from the Technical Summary of the Working Group I (WGI) Contribution to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Sixth Assessment Report (AR6)

Abstract

Global and regional monsoons: past trends and projected changes. The intent of this figure is to show changes in precipitation over regional monsoon domains in terms of observed past trends, how greenhouse gases and aerosols relate to these changes, and in terms of future projections in one intermediate emissions scenario in the near, medium and long term. (a) Global (black contour) and regional monsoons (colour shaded) domains. The global monsoon (GM) is defined as the area with local summer-minus-winter precipitation rate exceeding 2.5 mm day–1 (see Annex V). The regional monsoon domains are defined based on published literature and expert judgement (see Annex V) and accounting for the fact that the climatological summer monsoon rainy season varies across the individual regions. Assessed regional monsoons are South and South East Asia (SAsiaM, Jun–July–August–September), East Asia (EAsiaM, June–July–August), West Africa (WAfriM, June–July–August–September), North America (NAmerM, July–August–-September), South America (SAmerM, December–January–February), Australia and Maritime Continent Monsoon (AusMCM, December–January–February). Equatorial South America (EqSAmer) and South Africa (SAfri)regions are also shown, as they receive unimodal summer seasonal rainfall although their qualification as monsoons is subject to discussion. (b) Global and regional monsoons precipitation trends based on DAMIP CMIP6 simulations with both natural and anthropogenic (ALL), greenhouse gas only (GHG), aerosols only (AER) and natural only (NAT) radiative forcing. Weighted ensemble means are based on nine Coupled model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) models contributing to the MIP (with at least three members). Observed trends computed from CRU, GPCP and APHRO (only forSAsiaM and EAsiaM) datasets are shown as well. (c) Percentage change in projected seasonal mean precipitation over global and regional monsoons domain in the near term (2021–2040), mid-term (2041–2060), and long term (2081–2100) under SSP2-4.5 based on 24 CMIP6 models. {Figures 8.11 and 8.22}

Input Description

None

Output Description

None

Software Reference

None

  • units: %
  • var_id: WAfriM_Near
  • standard_name: Precipitation_change
  • long_name: Percentile of percentage change in precipitation
  • var_id: WAfriM_NAT
  • standard_name: Precip_trend_percentile
  • long_name: Percentile of trend in precipitation
  • units: mm/day/decade
  • units: mm/day/decade
  • var_id: WAfriM_GPCC
  • standard_name: Precip_trend
  • long_name: Trend in precipitation
  • var_id: observation
  • standard_name: observation
  • long_name: observation
  • units: observation
  • var_id: percentile
  • long_name: percentile
  • standard_name: percentile
  • units: percentile 10 25 50 75 90

Co-ordinate Variables

Coverage
Temporal Range
Start time:
1850-01-01T12:00:00
End time:
2100-12-31T12:00:00
Geographic Extent

 
90.0000°
 
-180.0000°
 
180.0000°
 
-90.0000°
 
Related parties
Authors (1)