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Dataset

 

Summary for Policymakers of the Working Group I Contribution to the IPCC Sixth Assessment Report - data for Figure SPM.3 (v20210809)

Update Frequency: Not Planned
Latest Data Update: 2021-10-14
Status: Completed
Online Status: ONLINE
Publication State: Published
Publication Date: 2021-10-22
Download Stats: last 12 months
Dataset Size: 5 Files | 16KB

This dataset has been superseded. See Latest Version here
Abstract

Data for Figure SPM.3 from the Summary for Policymakers (SPM) of the Working Group I (WGI) Contribution to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Sixth Assessment Report (AR6).

Figure SPM.3 shows the synthesis of assessed observed and attributable regional changes in hot extremes, heavy precipitation and agricultural and ecological droughts and confidence in human contribution to the observed changes in the world’s regions.
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How to cite this dataset
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IPCC, 2021: Summary for Policymakers. In: Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Masson-Delmotte, V., P. Zhai, A. Pirani, S.L. Connors, C. Péan, S. Berger, N. Caud, Y. Chen, L. Goldfarb, M.I. Gomis, M. Huang, K. Leitzell, E. Lonnoy, J.B.R. Matthews, T.K. Maycock, T. Waterfield, O. Yelekçi, R. Yu, and B. Zhou (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, pp. 3−32, doi:10.1017/9781009157896.001.

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Figure subpanels
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The figure has three panels, with data provided for all panels in subdirectories named panel_a, panel_b and panel_c.
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List of data provided
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Panel a: Synthesis of assessment of observed change in hot extremes and confidence in human contribution to the observed changes in the AR6 land-regions, excluding Antarctica.

Panel b: Synthesis of assessment of observed change in heavy precipitation and confidence in human contribution to the observed changes in the AR6 land-regions, excluding Antarctica.

Panel c: Synthesis of assessment of observed change in agricultural and ecological drought and confidence in human contribution to the observed changes in the AR6 land-regions, excluding Antarctica.
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Data provided in relation to figure
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· Data file: panel_a/SPM3_panel_a.csv (AR6 world regions, observed change in hot extremes, confidence in human contribution); middle entry relates to the colour of the map, showing [increase] (red), [decrease](blue),[low agreement in type of change](white/grey),[limited data and/or literature](grey) .
· Data file: panel_b/SPM3_panel_b.csv (AR6 world regions, observed change in heavy precipitation, confidence in human contribution); middle entry relates to the colour of the map, showing [increase] (green), [decrease](yellow),[low agreement in type of change](white/grey),[limited data and/or literature](grey) .

· Data file: panel_c/SPM3_panel_c.csv (AR6 world regions, observed change in agricultural and ecological drought, confidence in human contribution); middle entry relates to the colour of the map, showing [increase] (yellow), [decrease](green),[low agreement in type of change](white/grey),[limited data and/or literature](grey)

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Sources of additional information
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The data in the files is an assessment of section 11.9 in chapter 11 that is provided in the second first two columns of the tables in that section.

Citable as:  Otto, F.E.L.; Zhang, X.; Seneviratne, S.I. (2021): Summary for Policymakers of the Working Group I Contribution to the IPCC Sixth Assessment Report - data for Figure SPM.3 (v20210809). NERC EDS Centre for Environmental Data Analysis, date of citation. https://catalogue.ceda.ac.uk/uuid/118104a74a5e460b8cea189c67558e0b
Abbreviation: Not defined
Keywords: IPCC-DDC, IPCC, AR6, WG1, WGI, SPM, Sixth Assessment Report, Working Group I, Physical Science Basis, Summary for Policymakers, Figure SPM.3, Extremes, Chapter 11.

Details

Previous Info:
No news update for this record
Previously used record identifiers:
No related previous identifiers.
Access rules:
Public data: access to these data is available to both registered and non-registered users.
Use of these data is covered by the following licence: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/. When using these data you must cite them correctly using the citation given on the CEDA Data Catalogue record.
Data lineage:

Data produced by Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) authors and supplied for archiving at the Centre for Environmental Data Analysis (CEDA) by the Technical Support Unit (TSU) for IPCC Working Group I (WGI).
Data curated on behalf of the IPCC Data Distribution Centre (IPCC-DDC).

Data Quality:
Data as provided by the IPCC
File Format:
Data are BADC-CSV formatted

Process overview

This dataset was generated by the computation detailed below.
Title

Caption for Figure SPM.3 from the Summary for Policymakers of the Working Group I (WGI) Contribution to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Sixth Assessment Report (AR6)

Abstract

The IPCC AR6 WGI inhabited regions are displayed as hexagons with identical size in their approximate geographical location (see legend for regional acronyms). All assessments are made for each region as a whole and for the 1950s to the present. Assessments made on different time scales or more local spatial scales might differ from what is shown in the figure. The colours in each panel represent the four outcomes of the assessment on observed changes. White and light grey striped hexagons are used where there is low agreement in the type of change for the region as a whole and grey hexagons are used when there is limited data and/or literature that prevents an assessment of the region as a whole. Other colours indicate at least medium confidence in the observed change. The confidence level for the human influence on these observed changes is based on assessing trend detection and attribution and event attribution literature, and it is indicated by the number of dots: three dots for high confidence, two dots for medium confidence and one dot for low confidence (filled: limited agreement; empty: limited evidence).

Panel a) For hot extremes, the evidence is mostly drawn from changes in metrics based on daily maximum temperatures; regional studies using other indices (heatwave duration, frequency and intensity) are used in addition. Red hexagons indicate regions where there is at least medium confidence in an observed increase in hot extremes.

Panel b) For heavy precipitation, the evidence is mostly drawn from changes in indices based on one-day or five-day precipitation amounts using global and regional studies. Green hexagons indicate regions where there is at least medium confidence in an observed increase in heavy precipitation.

Panel c) Agricultural and ecological droughts are assessed based on observed and simulated changes in total column soil moisture, complemented by evidence on changes in surface soil moisture, water balance (precipitation minus evapotranspiration) and indices driven by precipitation and atmospheric evaporative demand. Yellow hexagons indicate regions where there is at least medium confidence in an observed increase in this type of drought and green hexagons indicate regions where there is at least medium confidence in an observed decrease in agricultural and ecological drought.

For all regions, table TS.5 shows a broader range of observed changes besides the ones shown in this figure. Note that SSA is the only region that does not display observed changes in the metrics shown in this figure, but is affected by observed increases in mean temperature, decreases in frost, and increases in marine heatwaves. {11.9, Table TS.5, Box TS.10, Figure 1, Atlas 1.3.3, Figure Atlas.2}

Input Description

None

Output Description

None

Software Reference

None

  • long_name: Confidence in human contribution to the observed change
  • names: Confidence in human contribution to the observed change
  • long_name: Type of observed change in agricultural and ecological change
  • names: Type of observed change in agricultural and ecological change
  • long_name: Type of observed change in heavy precipitation
  • names: Type of observed change in heavy precipitation
  • long_name: Type of observed change in hot extremes
  • names: Type of observed change in hot extremes

Co-ordinate Variables

Coverage
Temporal Range
Start time:
1950-01-01T00:00:00
End time:
2020-12-31T23:59:59
Geographic Extent

 
90.0000°
 
-180.0000°
 
180.0000°
 
-90.0000°