Computation
Caption for Figure 9.32 from Chapter 9 of the Working Group I (WGI) Contribution to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Sixth Assessment Report (AR6)
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Abstract
Projected median frequency amplification factors for the 1% average annual probability extreme still water level in 2050 (a, c, e) and 2100 (b, d, f). Based on a peak-over-threshold (99.7%) method applied to the historical extreme still water levels of Global Extreme Sea Level Analysis version 2 (GESLA2) following Special Report on Ocean and Cryosphere in a Changing Climate (SROCC) and additionally fitting a Gumbel distribution between Mean Higher High Water (MHHW) and the threshold following Buchanan et al. (2016), using the regional sea level projections of Section 9.6.3.3 for (a, b) SSP5-8.5, (c, d) SSP2-4.5 and (e, f) SSP1-2.6. Further details on data sources and processing are available in the chapter data table (Table 9.SM.9).
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