Dataset
Chapter 3 of the Working Group I Contribution to the IPCC Sixth Assessment Report - data for Figure 3.6 (v20220119)
Abstract
Data for Figure 3.6 from Chapter 3 of the Working Group I (WGI) Contribution to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Sixth Assessment Report (AR6).
Figure 3.6 shows simulated internal variability of global surface air temperature (GSAT) versus observed changes.
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How to cite this dataset
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When citing this dataset, please include both the data citation below (under 'Citable as') and the following citation for the report component from which the figure originates:
Eyring, V., N.P. Gillett, K.M. Achuta Rao, R. Barimalala, M. Barreiro Parrillo, N. Bellouin, C. Cassou, P.J. Durack, Y. Kosaka, S. McGregor, S. Min, O. Morgenstern, and Y. Sun, 2021: Human Influence on the Climate System. In Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Masson-Delmotte, V., P. Zhai, A. Pirani, S.L. Connors, C. Péan, S. Berger, N. Caud, Y. Chen, L. Goldfarb, M.I. Gomis, M. Huang, K. Leitzell, E. Lonnoy, J.B.R. Matthews, T.K. Maycock, T. Waterfield, O. Yelekçi, R. Yu, and B. Zhou (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, pp. 423–552, doi:10.1017/9781009157896.005.
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Figure subpanels
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The figure has three panels. Files are not separated according to the panels.
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List of data provided
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obs_gmst.nc contains
- Observed GMST anomalies
- Observed GMST difference between 2010-2019 and 1850-1900
historical_cmip6_gsat.nc contains
- Simulated GSAT anomalies
- Simulated GSAT difference between 2010-2019 and 1850-1900
of CMIP6 historical-ssp245 simulations
piControl_cmip6_gsat.nc contains - Simulated GSAT anomalies
- Simulated GSAT difference between the last 10 years and the first 51 years of a 170-year segment
of the first 500 years of CMIP6 piControl simulations
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Data provided in relation to figure
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Panel a:
- 5-year running mean of picontrol_tas_aa in piControl_cmip6_gsat.nc
o BCC-CSM2-MR: E = 3
o CMCC-CM2-SR5: E = 11
o CNRM-CM6-1: E = 12
o CNRM-ESM2-1: E = 13
o EC-Earth3: E = 15
o EC-Earth3-Veg: E = 16
o EC-Earth3-Veg-LR: E = 17
o IPSL-CM6A-LR: E = 29
o KIOST-ESM: E = 30
o MCM-UA-1-0: E = 31
Panel b:
- obs_tas_aa_trend in obs_gmst.nc: black vertical lines
o HadCRUT5: dataset = 1
o BerkeleyEarth: dataset = 2
o NOAAGlobalTemp-Interim: dataset = 3
o Kadow: dataset = 4
- histogram of histssp_tas_aa_trend in historical_cmip6_gsat.nc: red shading
- multimodel ensemble mean of histssp_tas_aa_trend in historical_cmip6_gsat.nc: red vertical line
- histogram of picontrol_tas_aa_runtrend in piControl_cmip6_gsat.nc: blue shading
- multimodel ensemble mean picontrol_tas_aa_runtrend in piControl_cmip6_gsat.nc: blue vertical line
Panel c:
- obs_tas_aa in obs_gmst.nc: grey curves, with their 5-year running means for black curves
o HadCRUT5: dataset = 1
o BerkeleyEarth: dataset = 2
o NOAAGlobalTemp-Interim: dataset = 3
o Kadow: dataset = 4
Acronyms: CMIP - Coupled Model Intercomparison Project, GMST - Global mean surface temperature, GSAT - Global surface air temperature, BCC-CSM - Beijing Climate Center Climate System Model, CMMC CM - Centro Euro-Mediterraneo sui Cambiamenti Climatici Climate Model, CNRM - Centre National de Recherches Meteorologiques, IPSL - Institut Pierre-Simon Laplace, KIOST-ESM - Korea Institute of Ocean Science & Technology Earth System, CRU - Climatic Research Unit, NOAA - National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.
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Notes on reproducing the figure from the provided data
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Multimodel ensemble means and histograms of historical simulations are calculated after weighting individual members with the inverse of the ensemble size of the same model. ensemble_assign in each file provides the model number to which each ensemble member belongs.
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Sources of additional information
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The following weblinks are provided in the Related Documents section of this catalogue record:
- Link to the report component containing the figure (Chapter 3)
- Link to the Supplementary Material for Chapter 3, which contains details on the input data used in Table 3.SM.1
Details
| Previous Info: |
No news update for this record
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| Previously used record identifiers: |
No related previous identifiers.
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| Access rules: |
Public data: access to these data is available to both registered and non-registered users.
Use of these data is covered by the following licence: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/. When using these data you must cite them correctly using the citation given on the CEDA Data Catalogue record. |
| Data lineage: |
Data produced by Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) authors and supplied for archiving at the Centre for Environmental Data Analysis (CEDA) by the Technical Support Unit (TSU) for IPCC Working Group I (WGI). |
| Data Quality: |
Data as provided by the IPCC
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| File Format: |
NetCDF
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Related Documents
Process overview
| Title | Caption for Figure 3.6 from Chapter 3 of the Working Group I (WGI) Contribution to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Sixth Assessment Report (AR6) |
| Abstract | Simulated internal variability of global surface air temperature (GSAT) versus observed changes. (a) Time series of five-year running mean GSAT anomalies in 45 CMIP6 pre-industrial control (unforced) simulations. The 10 most variable models in terms of five-year running mean GSAT are coloured according to the legend on Figure 3.4. (b) Histograms of GSAT changes in CMIP6 historical simulations (extended by using SSP2-4.5 simulations) from 1850–1900 to 2010–2019 are shown by pink shading in (c), and GSAT changes between the average of the first 51 years and the average of the last 20 years of 170-year overlapping segments of the pre-industrial control simulations shown in (a) are shown by blue shading. GMST changes in observational datasets for the same period are indicated by black vertical lines. (c) Observed GMST anomaly time series relative to the 1850–1900 average. Black lines represent the five-year running means while grey lines show unfiltered annual time series. Further details on data sources and processing are available in the chapter data table (Table 3.SM.1). |
| Input Description | None |
| Output Description | None |
| Software Reference | None |
- var_id: E
- units: degrees_C
- long_name: GSAT anomaly
- var_id: obs_tas_aa
- names: GSAT anomaly
- units: degrees_C
- long_name: GSAT difference between 2010-2019 and 1850-1900
- var_id: obs_tas_aa_trend
- names: GSAT difference between 2010-2019 and 1850-1900
- var_id: dataset
- var_id: ensemble_assign
- units: degrees_C
- var_id: histssp_tas_aa
- units: degrees_C
- var_id: histssp_tas_aa_trend
- var_id: picontrol_tas_aa
- units: ~S~o~N~C
- var_id: picontrol_tas_aa_runtrend
- var_id: time2
- long_name: year
- var_id: year
- names: year
Co-ordinate Variables
Temporal Range
1850-01-01T12:00:00
2019-12-31T12:00:00
Geographic Extent
90.0000° |
||
-180.0000° |
180.0000° |
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-90.0000° |